Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: a scenario analysis to 2030

This report presents three scenarios on the impact of COVID-19 in
Africa using economic growth forecasts, mortality and efforts to
ameliorate impact through social grants. Likely effects are examined
on per capita income, poverty and the attainment of selected
Sustainable Development Goals targets. Africa’s development trajectory has suffered a severe setback, with extreme poverty rising
in all the scenarios. The pandemic threatens Africa in several ways,
and the report provides policy recommendations to reduce
vulnerability and strengthen resilience.