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Exploring the impact of COVID-19 in Africa: a scenario analysis to 2030

Three alternative scenarios (V, U and L) on the impact of
COVID-19 in Africa to 2030.

Compare impact with a pre-
COVID-19 scenario
Use the International Futures forecasting platform (IFs).
Data sources and input:

• Three consultation sessions with 200 content, national and
regional experts

• Three small expert working session (growth, health & policy)

• IMF growth forecasts Oct 2019 and April 2020

• Imperial College global impact report (March 2020) for
mortality and infection rates

• Additional data collection and desktop research

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  • Africa-China Urban Initiative

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